Current:Home > MarketsThe case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost -GrowthProspect
The case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost
View
Date:2025-04-15 19:08:02
Odds of a soft landing may have just gotten a little better.
The latest employment report from the Labor Department shows job growth held steady last month, boosting hopes that the Federal Reserve may be able to curb inflation without triggering a sharp jump in unemployment.
U.S. employers added 187,000 jobs in July. While job growth has moderated, it hasn't come close to stalling, even after the Fed raised interest rates to the highest level in 22 years.
Here are five takeaways from the report.
Keeping up with population growth
Over the last three months, employers have added an average of 217,000 jobs per month.
That's down from an average of 312,000 jobs in the first three months of the year, but it's still a healthy pace of growth.
Employers are still adding more than enough jobs each month to keep pace with population growth.
Health care, hospitality and construction were among the industries adding jobs in July, while factories and transportation saw modest job cuts.
Historically low unemployment
The unemployment rate dipped to 3.5% in July from 3.6% the month before. The jobless rate has hovered in a narrow range for more than a year, hitting a half-century low of 3.4% in April.
Unemployment among African Americans hit a record low of 4.7% that month before rebounding to 6% in June — raising some concerns. In a relief, the African American jobless rate dipped again in July to 5.8%.
It's best to take those numbers with a grain of salt. The figures can be noisy because of the relatively small sample size.
People are earning more
Here's another bit of positive news: Wages are finally outpacing inflation, boosting workers' buying power.
Average wages in July were up 4.4% from a year ago. Wage gains have moderated in the last year, but inflation has cooled as well, so workers' paychecks now stretch farther.
For the twelve months ending in June wages rose 4.4%, while prices climbed just 3%. (The inflation rate for the year ending in July will be released next week.)
Coming off the sidelines
The number of people working, or looking for work, increased by 152,000 last month.
Importantly, the share of people in their prime working years (ages 25-54) who are in the labor force is growing. After hitting a two-decade high in June, it fell just slightly last month.
That's important, because a growing workforce allows the economy to expand without putting upward pressure on inflation.
And it's good news for women
Before the pandemic, women briefly outnumbered men on U.S. payrolls.
The ranks of working women fell sharply in 2020, when schools and restaurants were shuttered and many women were forced to leave work to look after family members or for other reasons.
Women's share of jobs has been slowly recovering, however, thanks in part to job growth in health care and education — fields where women outnumber men. (In contrast, the male-dominated manufacturing industry lost 2,000 jobs last month.)
As of July, women held 49.9% of all payroll jobs, up from 49.8% the month before.
veryGood! (296)
Related
- Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow owns a $3 million Batmobile Tumbler
- Macy's rejects $5.8 billion buyout ahead of layoffs, store shutdowns
- Trade resumes as Pakistan and Afghanistan reopen Torkham border crossing after 10 days
- Canada is capping foreign student visas to ease housing pressures as coast of living soars
- Warm inflation data keep S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq under wraps before Fed meeting next week
- Purported leader of criminal gang is slain at a beachfront restaurant in Rio de Janeiro
- Men are going to brutal boot camps to reclaim their masculinity. How did we get here?
- DeSantis Called for “Energy Dominance” During White House Run. His Plan Still is Relevant to Floridians, Who Face Intensifying Climate Impacts
- Paris Hilton, Nicole Richie return for an 'Encore,' reminisce about 'The Simple Life'
- Rihanna Should Take a Bow for Her Reaction to Meeting One of the Hottest B---hes Natalie Portman
Ranking
- Chuck Scarborough signs off: Hoda Kotb, Al Roker tribute legendary New York anchor
- Avril Lavigne announces The Greatest Hits Tour with Simple Plan, All Time Low
- Trump seeks control of the GOP primary in New Hampshire against Nikki Haley, his last major rival
- Almost 80 years after the Holocaust, 245,000 Jewish survivors are still alive
- McKinsey to pay $650 million after advising opioid maker on how to 'turbocharge' sales
- Trinidad government inquiry into divers’ deaths suggests manslaughter charges against company
- Could falling inflation trigger layoffs and a recession? Hint: Watch corporate profits
- The FAA says airlines should check the door plugs on another model of Boeing plane
Recommendation
IRS recovers $4.7 billion in back taxes and braces for cuts with Trump and GOP in power
Russia clashes with US and Ukraine supporters, ruling out any peace plan backed by Kyiv and the West
Families sue Kentucky gun shop that sold AR-15 used in 2023 bank shooting that killed 5
In Washington state, pharmacists are poised to start prescribing abortion drugs
The Daily Money: Spending more on holiday travel?
GOP Senate contenders in Ohio face off for their first statewide debate
Applebee's offering limited number of date night subscriptions
Taylor Swift attends Kansas City Chiefs playoff game against the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium